Predictive Intelligence
Model-driven early warnings — each with risk score, confidence, timeline, drivers and a recommended action.
82
risk
TB treatment interruption surge
KwaZulu-Natal · Tuberculosis
88% conf. 8 weeks
Drivers of risk
Missed appointments +14%Stock-out riskWinter migration
Recommended action: Deploy 4 CHW adherence teams; pre-position drugs
76
risk
ICU demand exceeds capacity
Gauteng metros · Respiratory + Trauma
81% conf. 3 weeks
Drivers of risk
Seasonal respiratory peak94% base occupancy
Recommended action: Activate 40 surge beds; divert stable referrals
69
risk
Diabetes complications rise
North West · Diabetes
74% conf. 6 months
Drivers of risk
Coverage 49%Rising incidence 8.1%
Recommended action: Scale screening + chronic dispensing hubs
91
risk
Cholera outbreak spread
Vhembe, Limpopo · Cholera
79% conf. 10 days
Drivers of risk
Water quality signalFlood riskCase clustering
Recommended action: Water treatment + rapid response team + WASH